Perfectly well said Researcher, right on the mark!
I am just back home from Kansas City and returned home last night and am reviewing both this article, and a follow up shorter one on the same topic that Dr. Mandrola put out yesterday that is even more in need of rebuttal in my view.
I am writing a formal rebuttal to both right now and will post them here too in this thread likely tomorrow, in place of this ad hoc dictated response on my iPhone that I wanted to at least get out even though its a longer rough draft and off the cuff,.. once I hone it down and edit it some to read a bit more concisely I will send copies directly to Dr Mandrola and to Medscape as well.
In my view, on this BELIEF Trial issue Dr John is clearly letting his feelings and convictions about 'Less must equal more' color his judgement and from a number of his comments on a the topic of LAA isolation its apparent that he clearly has far more limited experience with than area than do the authors of BELIEF ... Not even in the same universe.
Alas, with his bully pulpit and his very good writing style (and he is a good communicator for sure) he is also inadvertently doing a big disservice by trying to use his personal opinions, born of his far more limited personal experience, to shout down the results from the BELIEF trial presented as a very well vetted and very strongly structured and carried out peer-reviewed randomized control trial as empirical scientific findings!
In spite of there being zero deaths, no PV stenosis, no esophageal fistulas or no strokes/TIAs in the study arm with standard extended PVAI and full LAA isolation ... Dr John calls it all 'dangerous and a bad idea' ... based on what Dr John?? ... your 'gut feel' or reading the bones of of ancient ancestors?? Certainly there is risk in all cardiac procedures and LAA isolation does require more skill and experience to perform reliably, safely and in an expert fashion, but that is no reason to brand it especially dangerous in the face of very good safety shown in this expert centers experience or try to dissuade this whole class of LSPAF patients who this study examined who have had so little real long term hope previously and now have very good odds of restoring long term NSR and regaining a large part of quailty of life left for them.
I find it odd too that he complains even that BELIEF was granted (and fully deserved) unanimous approval for 'Hot Line' presentation status at ESC Congress 2015 in London two weeks ago. The last time I looked getting such a prestigious presentation status doesn't just arbitrarily fall off a tree!
It is voted by the full expert committee membership at ESC who carefully review and debate the merits and structure of every randomized controlled trial being presented that year, and only those few deemed most significant, ground breaking and SOLID get Hot Line status ... so he is basically insulting the whole ESC committee by so cavalierly, and irresponsibly, in my view, assuming they were wrong in granting such an important recognition and status to a full randomized controlled prospective trial by the largest AFIB research center in the world, simply because it does only seems to run counter to Dr Johns 'Less is always more' personal belief system..
I think Dr John really means well and his heart may be in the right place and we all here fully support his relatively new found belief in life style risk factor (RFM) modification that for the last 16 years has been our cornerstone foremost recommendation for all newly diagnosed Afibbers to adopt with real dedication. Though its hardly a novel idea nor did this very good and common sense idea get started in Adelaide Australia, by any means. There have been a host of prior studies pointing to the very helpful impact of RFM modification too by other large centers before these two Aussie study's of ARREST-AF and CARDIOFIT. And I give Prash Sanders and his group credit for laying out a specific and rigorous protocol for patients to follow to help maximize their RFM improving efforts. That is all well and good.
And we here at afibbers.org all know and support fully adding first RFM modification (which includes dietary and nutritional supplementation when warranted in our recommendations) along with CV risk mitigating strategies (included in the overall RFM acronym) with support from their EPs from the outset of one's formal AFIB treatment. And then we also strongly recommend that when, and if, less than near total remission is achieved after a full year of dedicated effort, that such patients who in spite of those efforts are still suffering with too many AFIB episodes to by all means add in that 'expert ablation process' after carefully choosing the most experienced operator you can find even if you have to travel to find the most experienced operator within your reach, if necessary, for the best combined overall results and to earn the greatest degree of robust continuous NSR long term via such a combined team effort.
Dr. Mandrola in my view, is simply being too idealistic to the point of becoming a bit of an ideologue at times, which can be a well-intentioned though when overblown, a self-deceptive space to operate from. He assumes from one modest group of studies from Australia that these results are sufficient to rewrite global ablation recommendation status ad hoc, and that these steps will automatically mean ablations will now become 'rare' occurrences as such a large majority of Afibbers supposedly will find their AFIB go into remission from weight loss and RFM efforts alone.
On this point, I could not disagree with him more, not with our long experience that if their group is anything like the legions who have come to our site over the years and applied these many of the same RFM improving principles as well, and even with their well done weight loss studies that verify what we have been saying from day one here at afibbers.org since the year 2000... they will very likely find, as we have, that the initial good reductions in AFIB burden will often themselves go into remission too after a year or two, or even five years down the road, and even with continued dedication to all the RFM protocols and methods that will not be enough for the majority of these same people to keep the lid on the AFIB kettle from boiling over again with a vengeance.
I'd be willing to bet Dr John a cold Heineken at one of the AFIB conferences, that as time goes along he too will find both further confirmation of the wisdom of including such natural and allopathic methods together as a combined approach for improving RFM and CVRF issues, when those factors are key issues for given patients. But that he will also discover that over time AFIB itself, and its progression, is rather relentless and resilient and in the majority of those who initially benefit it will very often return .. possibly underscoring a likely genetic component as well as life style issues. It could be that the later to these two influences may simply accelerate the progression of the disease and make AFIB more likely to manifest earlier than it possibly would have had the person always taken very good care of themselves physically, as a well-supported hypothesis from our long and impressive anecdotal history.
As such, our experience indicates that the very best program includes adding, at the right time, that 'expert ablation process' along with a life long dedication to RFM reduction to achieve the most robust and durable freedom from arrhythmia for the long term for the majority of Afibbers.
Dr John, in my view, just goes too far here on this issue, beyond what even the Aussie researchers, including Dr. Prash Sanders, convey in their study. And he presumes that those results represent a more or less full replacement for catheter ablation for the vast majority of people. Granted, he does acknowledge that CA will still have a very limited role in some cases in his speculative projection. But he also presumes that RFM reduction and weight loss, based on this single set of studies, will render catheter ablation to a "rarely needed adjunct in a relatively few cases".. a lovely idea that simply has veryr little support from our long collective history in the trenches of this lousy condition.
To me, as well as to many others in the Cardio/EP world well above my pay grade, this view is far too indealistic and most docs I know in this field strongly feel that we would need at least a couple more large randomized control trials from larger centers in other parts of the world as well, fully confirming long term remission of AFIB via Risk Factor reducing protocols alone in paroxysmal and persistent cases ( not to mention LSPAF cases) before even considering the idea of relagating ablations to more or less a little used after thought.
Even in the Aussie studies, it was the obese afibbers that benefited most from the aggressive life style and CV risk reduction protocols, as expected, and only those that were able to prevent ANY fluctuation of more than a modest narrow range of weight change over time, were able to maintain that hard won anti-arrhythmia burden-reducing benefit of those stringent RFM modifying protocols ... as worthy and recommendable as they are.
Not surprisingly, from our collective experience over the years and as a possible glimpse of the shelf life on the initial AFIB remissions often possible with RFM efforts, the Aussie group also have reported increasing difficulty being able to still once again recruit enough of those same weight loss/AFIB free people from the initial study, beyond two years or so in order to be able to continue and extend the study time frame much further.
No doubt, a fair number of the subjects in the study will be successful in keeping the weight off, but even still, I can safely bet my bottom dollar that a good percentage of those who do will still not have heard the last from AFIB ... at least not without also adding in an expert ablation process to the equation.
Indeed, the most impressive stats from Adelaide, and which conform very well with our long experience, shows that the combination of dedicated long term RFM reducing methods
plus an expert CA, are most often the winning formula for the majority of afibbers long term and this is especially true for persistent and LSPAF who also do much better, in our experience, with more extended expert ablation including LAA isolation when indicated.
What Dr John will almost certainly find out as well, based on our long experience, is that life style and weight loss for all its major benefits, does not rise to the level of a robust core cure-all for AFIB for the majority .. it can be a big help for sure, and even for a few years up to around five years in some cases it can indeed help trigger a relatively long and very worthwhile mostly quiet remission period .. and even longer for a much smaller lucky group of afibbers, and is highly recommended wholeheartedly in any event .. but it is not a long term panacea for the majority.
And to posit that it will, and should, render ablation a moot point for the majority based on such skimpy projections and lack of long term evidence is the height of misleading and irresponsible reporting in my view.
At this stage of the game, it still requires using
all of the best tools in the tool shed at the right and appropriated time for the majority of afibbers to earn the best and most truly durable freedom from the beast that we can win for ourselves long term.
As worthwhile as the Australia obesity/AFIB studies are, they would not have been the first revelation to Dr John of that common sense approach had he had the chance to visit our website many years ago during his early EP days. Likewise, I hope he will benefit from, and take to heart, our long experience too with these protocols, and perhaps temper his proclamations now that he has found, in essence, the holy grail for the vast majority of afibbers who, thus, will not need an ablation after all based on these still rather preliminary but encouraging and very predictable results from Australia (at least predictable to us at afibbers.org).
Doing so, might save him having to issue another self-directed retraction to his own admittedly premature overly enthusiastic endorsement of another 'less must be more' concept as with his mia culpa shared some months back on his blog space concerning his early unbridled support for FIRM-only ablation after a spate of more independent studies were recently released being unable to conFIRM that the emperor indeed is wearing a full set of clothes at this stage of our understanding. While the jury is still out on FIRM, at the very least Dr Johns immediate and enthusiastic embrace of that technology to us all in the public from the moment it was first revealed as a new potentail mapping and ablation tool some years ago, has proven entirely premature at this point in time.
STAR -II has some interesting lessons to tell for sure, and could easily be a subject for another thread indeed, but suffice it to say in the interest of brevity that STAR-II was investigating a very different population base than is the LSPAF cohort investigated in BELIEF Trial. And as a result, to arbitrarily try to superimpose what he presumes is the only take home message from STAR II study onto the Long standing persistent AFIB group in BELIEF, is truly a non-starter! Indeed, its hard to believe that anyone with intimate familiarity with both persistent and LSPAF ablation would ever consider results from a study of one class of patients to be fully applicable to the other, out of hand.
The reason I'm addressing what I see as clearly some misplaced, potentially misleading and at the very least very premature comments about the BElIEF trial, even though no doubt inadvertently so, is that I have spoken to a handful of people over the last few years who had postponed timely ablations when a few of which were even set to go with one of the top experts in the world. But after they had read Dr Johns what now seems to have been equally premature and overly exuberant endorsement of an ablation system that promised a small handful of burns to cure AFIB when it first came out. All of these folks had canceled out of their ablations from riding the wave of that enthusiastic promise they heard from Dr Johns column.
And several cancelled in spite of having severe symptoms and increasing episode frequency with the hope that just around the corner would be this new easy panacea. A few of these then went on to develop full persistent AFIB from the continued remodeling from waiting on that promised dream they heard about on the blog, if only it would pan out soon enough. That constitutes real harm to me, and now I see the potential for even more harm from some similar well-intentioned but out-of-line personal opinion comments on BELIEF Trial that might also result in some premature and possibly harmful decisions by real patients. That is my main concern here.
This is not an 'either/or' debate between ablation or life-style risk reduction, in any way shape or form either! Both aspects are the two cornerstones of our prime recommendation as a complete winning formula we have validated over the years to work the best.
And the best thing too, is that when followed as we lay it out beginning with the RFM methods up front, all those who will be able to put the genie back in the bottle for the long term with RFM modification alone will certainly be able to discover that fact during the first 6 months to one full year of truly dedicated adoption or all the recommended RFM reducing protocols for them (including those that overlap with Dr. Sanders' group excellent recommendations)..
However, when following our regimen, the patient who is less than fully successful in that first year of RFM effort will not be left out to dry due to being deemed too 'unworthy' of rescue because they didn't have enough 'will power' or perhaps are considered 'too far gone already' by less experienced ablationist not so familiar and experienced with more advanced ablation methods and nuances. And thus, some of this folks deemed too far gone for an ablation are relegated to the unlucky exit wing of the ablation allocation triage list. Next, they are put on OAC drugs for life, loaded up with energy and libido-robbing rate control drugs ... and, in effect, are shoved out on the ice flow with the eskimos.
Ongoing long standing persistent AFIB does not have to lead directly to death either to effectively ruin one's life!
Anyway, you get the picture and Ive got to get back to the main response and will return later tomorrow ...
Be well Shannon
Edited 9 time(s). Last edit at 10/12/2015 03:23PM by Shannon.